Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 0.543958 0.600374 0.661168 0.731719 0.811548 0.899311 1.003423
2025-10-12 0.457925 0.536782 0.628190 0.742709 0.883362 1.051787 1.270708
2025-10-19 0.406485 0.495783 0.604448 0.747881 0.934412 1.171825 1.501822
2025-10-26 0.369119 0.464533 0.585220 0.751381 0.977869 1.281244 1.727807
2025-11-02 0.341528 0.441401 0.571973 0.758440 1.023326 1.394688 1.970592
2025-11-09 0.310870 0.410611 0.544603 0.741857 1.031981 1.454859 2.140990
2025-11-16 0.292749 0.394795 0.535509 0.748857 1.073536 1.565421 2.400750
2025-11-23 0.273335 0.375295 0.519112 0.742876 1.093846 1.644291 2.618633
2025-11-30 0.259281 0.362160 0.510463 0.747051 1.129244 1.749506 2.893964
2025-12-07 0.242984 0.344436 0.493450 0.736398 1.139151 1.812878 3.103178
2025-12-14 0.228583 0.328475 0.477780 0.726205 1.148215 1.874816 3.317272
2025-12-21 0.211904 0.307964 0.453631 0.700156 1.127617 1.881822 3.425884
2025-12-28 0.205806 0.303545 0.454596 0.716026 1.181872 2.031220 3.844300
2026-01-04 0.199121 0.297771 0.452970 0.727344 1.229160 2.173518 4.273542
2026-01-11 0.191735 0.290358 0.448063 0.732369 1.265076 2.297746 4.685026
2026-01-18 0.184642 0.282950 0.442592 0.735783 1.298007 2.419593 5.112807
2026-01-25 0.178723 0.277090 0.439269 0.742666 1.338081 2.560733 5.612784
2026-02-01 0.169266 0.264786 0.424126 0.726497 1.330701 2.599912 5.867405
2026-02-08 0.164318 0.259821 0.421388 0.733322 1.370470 2.746706 6.427849
2026-02-15 0.157694 0.251621 0.412426 0.727490 1.383257 2.834250 6.847373
2026-02-22 0.153033 0.246561 0.408739 0.731560 1.417301 2.975021 7.445325
2026-03-01 0.146547 0.237975 0.398163 0.721173 1.418900 3.038718 7.833129
2026-03-08 0.140536 0.229944 0.388169 0.711234 1.420536 3.102692 8.236125